3G in China and India look to scale as the dispute raised concern about long-3G, large-scale Sino-Indian dispute - HC Network Communication industry

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In 2005, the performance of the global mobile communications market exciting, new subscribers to reach 400 million, the market showed rapid growth. In order to maintain this prosperity, in 2006, people put more hope on the driving emerging markets, and hopes to start 3G in China to promote the scale of the global 3G development.





  Means of exploring new markets and more Vice President of Telecommunications Research
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Cao Shumin at the recently held "2006 China Mobile Communication Industry Summit Forum", said the current global mobile communications market has been divided into two parts, namely, emerging markets and mature market. "The so-called emerging markets, including China, India, Middle East, South America, Eastern Europe and other developing countries, whose main characteristic is the user is in the early stage of development, penetration is very low, use of equipment are second-generation technology. In addition, Such markets are still low-cost, low rates, ARPU is lower than the 5 dollars and so on. "Cao Shumin said," but this part of the huge market potential, the next five years will be rapid development. "
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It is understood that the current penetration rate of mobile communication in Latin America only 40%, they plan to upgrade to the 2010 penetration rate of 70%; India's 40 million existing mobile users -5,000 million, Africa 150 000 000 They also plan to 2010, the number of users were grown to 350 million and 400 million. Clearly, emerging markets contribute to the global mobile communications market has not be underestimated, added in 2005 to 4 million users almost entirely from them, so how to tap the potential of emerging markets as one of the key people to consider. According to Ministry of Science and Technology





Zhang Xinsheng, Deputy Director, currently GSM Association has announced the establishment of a fund to provide for all future members of the Association, each selling a cell phone, to come up with 15 cents as a fund to further promoting or expanding the size of emerging markets. In addition, Philips, TR and other companies also announced that, in line with narrowing the digital divide, tapping the potential in emerging markets, ready to launch in the near future from 25 to 45 U.S. dollars in the mobile phone. "It is anticipated that mining and the process of exploring new markets, Chinese enterprises will also bring some opportunities." Zhang Xinsheng said.





Scale mature market focuses 3G And emerging markets significantly different, the current penetration rate of mobile users in mature markets has been very high, relatively stable market, operators ARPU values are USD 30 or more, such as Japan, Western Europe and North America,. "Right now the biggest challenge facing the region is, how to develop new business, expand the scale of the existing 3G customers." Said Cao Shumin.





Should acknowledge that after years of effort, WCDMA users have begun to take shape, reaching 47 million, but the total number of mobile users around the world share is still only 2.2%, it is not a great talent; but WCDMA business is also concentrated in just Japan and the Hutchison Whampoa covered some areas, the limited geographical scope. Seen in this light, how to promote large-scale 3G has become a prominent issue in mature markets.





To expand the scale of 3G, first of all we must reduce costs. "At present, foreign companies have large operations in China placed high expectations: one hopes that China will soon launch 3G, by the scale of China's 3G technology to boost the development of global 3G; on the other hand hope that the scale of China's 3G technology to lower overall price, and that ZTE and Huawei to provide more competitive products. "Zhang Xinsheng said.





Zhang Xinsheng said, even in the 3G era, the traditional voice business will continue to have great living space. Data indicate that the current GSM customers accounted for 74% of global users, estimated that by 2010 still will account for 60%; and WCDMA subscribers worldwide now total only 2.2%, to 2010, the most they can rise to 19%, so the overall point of view, the traditional voice service is still much room for development.





"As operators in mature markets declining ARPU value, the new technology in this market favor, get a quick application and development." Zhang Xinsheng said. Since Cingular launched the world's first HSDPA network, the present in more than 100 WCDMA operators have been 56 announced the deployment of HSDPA networks.





" Long as the "fight or dance with


"China's role is special." Cao Shumin said. China currently has the dual characteristics, while low-end users are incremental users, showing the characteristics of emerging markets; the other hand, in some areas, such as Beijing and Shanghai, but to show the characteristics of developed markets, " Therefore, China is actually a double identity, it is necessary to take up the task of low incremental development of the market, but also promote the development of high-end market. "





And China also are a country of concern is India. Since 2005, India's rapid rise in mobile communications, to January 2006, India has surpassed the number of new subscribers per month in China, growth is very fast. Although India and China is still a big gap between the total number of users, the Chinese mobile market has more than 400 million subscribers, while India is only 85 million, only about 5 years ago, China's level of development, but many people have India as is China's second version of its future development potential can not be ignored. According to some organizations, in the coming five years, China and India, new customers throughout the Asia-Pacific region will account for one fifth of the entire Asia-Pacific region in turn accounted for 40% of the global market. It is not difficult to see that China's future can no longer stood out as at present, but will, and India together hold a decisive position.





"It is now vividly likened China and India, 'Dragon and the like', between them, how could interact, in turn the development of future global mobile communications played a role in what are worth attention to the phenomenon. "Cao Shumin said.